3 — Avoiding Cognitive Biases
Purpose
[stub: avoiding-cognitive-biases]
Metadata
| Author | Amit Singh |
| Scope | productivity |
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Related notes
First Principles Thinking
Reasoning up from fundamentals instead of by analogy to what's already been done — slower, and the only way to beat a locally-optimized status quo.
2 — Reversible vs Irreversible Decisions
The one-way-door / two-way-door distinction — why irreversible decisions deserve deliberate slowness and reversible ones deserve speed, and conflating the two wastes both.
Expected Value
Weighing a decision by probability-weighted outcomes rather than gut feel or the most vivid scenario alone.
Opportunity Cost
What a choice actually costs is the next-best option it forecloses, not just the resources it visibly consumes.